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Currency Trading Research

In the article below we look at the outlook for USD/CAD – The USD has firmed up and we think it's going higher against the majority view which is for a lower USD. Our logic and view of the key technical levels in the article below...

In terms of Gold, we look at the fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals in this article and our view is that Gold could be on the verge of making a big move to the downside.

The market is heavily long the EUR/JPY but the upside from here is limited and a major break lower is expected. Our logic of the trade in the enclosed article...

The Russia-Ukraine war on its outbreak created major volatility in Forex markets but recently this conflict has been ignored by financial markets. We are now at a critical stage of the war and could see an escalation that in our view, will have a major impact on the Forex markets. The impact of the war if it escalates will hurt European currencies and one in particular is vulnerable USD/PLN which is at the end of this article with levels to watch.

In terms of the outlook for AUD/USD, we have been bearish in recent articles the AUD has fallen but there is far more downside to come in our view...

USD/SEK is moving higher and has far more upside in our view. In our recent article, we expected the USD to bottom out at 10.20, we are now at 10.50 and could trade as high as 11.50 longer term in our view.

In terms of USD/CNH we have seen a correction but expect this to end with a big move to the upside as the Chinese economy continues to slow and the Peoples Bank of China allow the USD to rise on the Yuan.

In terms of GBP/USD we have the Bank of England this week and speculators are heavily long coming into the meeting and we expect a sell off.

We have been bearish in previous articles of EUR/USD and remain bearish – we expect far more downside for the reasons below:

In our article last week, we were looking for a sell-off in EUR/USD and we have seen prices move lower and have extended our downside target down to 1.0700...

In recent articles, we have been looking for GBP/USD, EUR/USD to fall and both pairs, have seen weakness and got low risk entries near the highs using our favorite tool sentiment tool in Forex the COT Net Trades Positions. This weeks report points to more weakness in both pairs.

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