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Max
Gunther's father, was one of the original speculators who devised the
Axioms and they made huge money using them and so did Max Gunther;
he made his first trade at the age of 15 and continued to profit from
them and you can too. The axioms are all about taking risk and
actually enjoying it! Most traders are so afraid of risk, they
actually end up creating it and the book focuses on the obvious –
to make money, you need to take calculated risks...
The
Axioms are not just applicable to trading, there also applicable to
life in general and any business venture; this book is essential
reading for every speculator and if you get this book, you will find
it's a refreshing change from the so called normal investment
wisdom. Always remember that the majority of traders lose money and
that's why this book is so good, it puts you on the path to making
money.
The
book contains a set of principles which gives you a practical
philosophy and trading psychology for the realistic
management of risk.The common sense principles are available to
everyone to use and can be practised by any trader willing to free
his or her mind from conventional thinking. Many of the axioms go
against the conventional belief and traditional wisdom of the
investment advice BUT those who master the meanings and implement the
concepts of the Zurich Axioms will have an edge in their quest for
investment success – It's as simple as that.
You
really need to read the book to get the full picture but here are the
Axioms in brief, just to give you a taster of what the book is all
about...
Major
Axiom 1: On Risk
Worry
is not a sickness but a sign of health. If you are not worried, you
are not risking enough.
Put
your money at risk. Don’t be afraid to get hurt a little. The
degree of risk you will usually be dealing with is not hair-raisingly
high. By being willing to face it, you give yourself the only
realistic chance you have of rising above the great unrich. Worry is
the hot and tart sauce of life. Once you get used to it, you enjoy
it.
Minor
Axiom I
Always
play for meaningful stakes.
Minor
Axiom II
Resist
the allure of diversification.
(Because
it forces you to violate precept minor axiom 1.)
(Because
it creates situation where gains and losses cancel each other out.)
(Because
you end up with too many balls in the air.)
Major
Axiom 2: On Greed
Always
take your profit too soon.
Sell
too soon. Don’t hope for winning streaks to go on and on. Don’t
stretch your luck. Expect winning streaks to be short. When you reach
a previously decided-upon ending position, cash out and walk away. Do
this even when everything looks rosy, when everyone else is saying
the boom will keep roaring along.
The
ONLY reason for not doing it would be that some new situation has
arisen, and this situation makes you all but certain that you can go
on winning for a while.
Except
in such usual circumstances, get in the habit of selling too soon.
And when you’ve sold, don’t torment yourself if the winning
continues without you.
Minor
Axiom III
Decide
in advance what gain you want from a venture, and when you get it,
get out.
Major
Axiom 3: On Hope
When
the ship starts to sink, don’t pray. Jump.
Learning
to take losses is an essential speculative technique. MOST never
learn it. Take losses at once and move on. Take small losses to
protect yourself from the big ones.
Beware
the 3 obstacles to jumping ship:
*
Fear of regret (that the loser will turn out to be a winner when
you’ve bailed-out)
*
Unwillingness to abandon part of an investment (become willing to
abandon)
*
Difficulty of admitting you made a mistake.
Minor
Axiom IV
Accept
small losses cheerfully as a fact of life. Expect to experience
several while awaiting a large gain.
Major
Axiom 4: On Forecasts
Human
behaviour cannot be predicted. Distrust anyone who claims to know the
future, however dimly.
Nobody
has the foggiest notion of what will happen in the future. Nobody.
Never lose sight of the possibility you have made a bad bet.
Major
Axiom 5: On Patterns The Emperor Axiom
Chaos
is not dangerous until it begins to look orderly.
Do
not look for order where order does not exist. Do not overlook the
large role chance takes in any speculation. Study information in
whatever speculative medium to improve chances and take your best
shot. Stay light on your feet ready to jump this way or that. You are
dealing with chaos, as long as you are alert to that fact you can
keep yourself from getting hurt.
Internal
Monolog goes:
“OK.
I’ve done my homework as well as I know how. I think this bet can
pay off for me. But since I cannot see or control all the random
events that will affect what happens to my money. I know the chance
of me being wrong is large. Therefore I will stay light on my feet,
ready to jump this way or that when whatever is going to happen
happens.”
Minor
Axiom V
Beware
the historians trap.
The
Historian’s trap is a particular kind of orderly illusion. It is
based on the age-old but entirely unwarranted belief that history
repeats itself. People who hold this belief – which is to say
perhaps ninety-nine out of every hundred people on earth – believe
as a corollary proposition that the orderly repetition of history
allows for accurate forecasting in certain situations…. Don’t
fall into this trap. It is true that history repeats itself
sometimes, but most often it doesn’t, and in any case it never does
so in a reliable enough way that you can prudently bet money on it.
Minor
Axiom VI
Beware
the Chartist’s illusion.
Minor
Axiom VII
Beware
the correlation and causality delusions.
Minor
Axiom VIII
Beware
the Gambler’s Fallacy. (This is my lucky day.)
Major
Axiom 6: On Mobility
Avoid
putting down roots. They impede motion.
Be
ready to jump away from trouble or seize opportunity. You do not have
to bounce from one speculation to another like a ping-pong ball. All
your moves should be made only after a careful assessment of the odds
for and against, and no move should be made for trivial reasons. But
when a venture is clearly souring, or when something clearly more
promising comes into view, then you must sever those roots and go.
Don’t let the roots get too thick to cut.
Minor
Axiom IX
Do
not become trapped in a souring venture because of sentiments like
loyalty and nostalgia.
Minor
Axiom X
Never
hesitate to abandon a venture of something more attractive comes into
view.
Major
Axiom 7: On Intuition
A
hunch can be trusted if it can be explained.
Though
intuition is not infallible, it can be a useful speculative tool, if
handled with care and scepticism.
If
you are hit by strong hunch – put it to the test. Trust it only if
you can explained it. That is only if you can identify within your
mind a stored body of information out of which that hunch must
reasonably be supposed to have arisen.
Be
wary of any intuition that seems to promise some outcome you want
badly.
Minor
Axiom XI
Never
confuse a hunch with a hope.
Major
Axiom 8: On Religion and the Occult
It
is unlikely that god’s plan for the universe includes making you
rich.
Assume
you are on your own. Rely on nothing but your own wits.
Minor
Axiom XII
If
astrology worked, all astrologers would be rich.
Minor
Axiom XIII
A
superstition need not be exorcised. It can be enjoyed, provided it is
kept in its place.
Major
Axiom 9: On Optimism & Pessimism
Optimism
means expecting the best, but confidence means knowing how you will
handle the worst. Never make a move if you are merely optimistic.
Optimism
can be a speculator’s enemy. It feels good and is dangerous for
that reason. It produces a clouding of judgement. It can lead you
into a venture with no exits. Even when there is an exit, optimism
can persuade you not to use it.
You
should never make a move if you are merely optimistic. Before
committing your money to a venture, ask how you will save yourself if
things go wrong. Once you have that worked out, you’ve got
something better than optimism. You’ve got confidence.
Major
Axiom 10: On Consensus
Disregard
the majority opinion. It is probably wrong.
Probably
wrong. Figure everything out for yourself.
Minor
Axiom XIV
Never
follow speculative fads. Often, the best time to buy something is
when no-one else wants it.
Major
Axiom 11: On Stubbornness
If
it doesn’t pay off the first time forget it.
Perseverance
is a good idea for spiders and kings, but not always for speculators.
Don’t fall into the trap of trying to squeeze a gain out of any
single speculative entity.
Don’t
chase any investment in a spirit of stubbornness. Reject any thought
that an investment “owes you” something. And don’t buy the
alluring, but fallacious idea that you can improve a bad situation by
averaging down.
Minor
Axiom XV
Never
try to save a bad investment by averaging down.
Major
Axiom 12: On Planning
Long-range
plans engender the dangerous belief that the future is under control.
It is important never to take your own long-range plans, or other
people’s, too seriously.
React
to events as they occur in the present. Put your money into ventures
as they present themselves and withdraw it from hazards as they loom
up. Value the freedom that will allow you to do this. Don’t ever
sign that freedom away.
There
is only one long-range financial plan you need: the intention to grow
rich. The how is not knowable or plan-able. All you need to know is
that you will do it somehow.
Minor
Axiom XVI
Shun
long-term investments.
Summary
This
book doesn't give any indicators or technical analysis or a specific
trading strategy but what it does give you – is the ability to set
a framework of principles which will serve you well in trading for
big profits in currencies, stocks commodities or any other investment
for that matter.
For
me, the best part of the Axiom's is the way they embrace risk and
make you feel good about it and under the headings above, you will
find the book is written in a simple amusing, entertaining style
which anyone can understand and the best compliment I can give it is
simply - it makes you want to start speculating!
If
you read the Zurich Axiom's, you will see speculating and investment
from a different and better perspective – so now go buy the book
and I hope you enjoy it as much as I did.
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