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Many
currency traders tend to look at currencies in isolation from other
markets - but the fact is they don't just move in isolation, they
move in relation to domestic and global economic trends and that's
why studying intermarket analysis is such a valuable
currency trading technique - let's look at this trading method in more
detail...
You
can see the overall picture, if you see currencies in light of inter
market analysis and that means looking how, stocks, bonds and
commodities are performing to gain knowledge on where currencies may
go next. Lets look at FX inter market analysis in more detail.
4
x Basic Principles Intermarket Analysis is Based Upon
The
Basic principles Intermarket analysis are based upon are the
following :
-
All markets are connected in one way or another, by both
domestic issues and global economic trends.
-
A market never moves in isolation, its impacted by other markets and
if you think about it, this is obvious and logical
-
An analysis of one market must include an analysis of all the markets
as they are all inter related and all markets impact on each other.
-
The four main market groups of financial instruments, you need to
follow to do the analysis correctly are - stocks, bonds,
commodities, and currencies.
Intermarket
Analysis – Related to Traditional Technical and Fundamental
Analysis
Technical
analysis by it's very nature is based upon looking at a single market
in complete isolation from any other - but intermarket analysis sees
things from a broader perspective. When analysing the currency
market, the Intermarket trader will also look at the stock market (to
consider how money around the global economy and the bullishness of
sentiment), the bond market (to see how people see interest rates
moving in future), the commodities market (to get an idea of
inflationary trends and supply and demand in different economies
worldwide), and overseas markets (to get an idea of general global
market trends).
Fundamental
analysis is similar to the Intermarket analysis in many ways -
because both methods of analysis, look at economic factors, news and
market data, to gain an overall view of where the market may be
heading in the future, the difference between the two disciplines
however is:
Fundamental
analysis restricts its analysis to a single market, while Intermarket
analysis examines multiple markets at the same time, to try and
decide where the currency pair (or market studied) maybe going next.
John
Murphy and Intermarket Analysis
The
idea of Intermarket analysis is credited to John Murphy a famous
technical analyst, who made this method popular among both
fundamental and technical traders, in his book - “Intermarket
Analysis: Profiting from Global Market Relationships” which is
essential reading for any serious currency trader.
He
began trading as a strictly technical trader, but later expanded his
research, so he could see things from a wider perspective. He started
to see things more from a more global point of view and thus,
developed the Intermarket approach to help forecast future price
movements.
Today,
many different types of traders incorporate Intermarket analysis in
their trading strategy, from banks to major corporations, to savvy
individual traders.
Final
Words
We
live in a global economy and all financial markets, impact on each
other and that's a fact! This is reason , why intermarket analysis
is so valuable when trading currencies; a currency pair doesn't move
in isolation from other financial markets! Stocks, bonds, currencies
and commodities, all attract amounts of money depending on how the
global economy is performing and investor sentiment and all impact on
each other – so see the big picture and if you do, you will get an
edge in your quest for currency trading profits.
To
be able to generate trading signals with confidence in their
currency trading strategy, traders need to look outside the currency
pair their trading and see how other markets both domestically impact
on the currency pair – it sounds logical and it is! If the currency
pair is considered the target market, you can get better market
timing and more accurate trading signals, by studying the external
market forces that affect the currency pair you are trading.
If
you apply intermarket analysis as one of your currency trading
techniques, you will see the whole picture and by doing this, you
will increase your currency trading profits and reduce risk at the
same time.
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