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You
can buy lots of Forex robots or so called Forex Expert Advisor's
online but most are junk and won't make you any money and it's a fact
you can do better yourself and make a trading system which can make
money – so lets look at how to make a Forex robot.
Before
we look at how to make your own Forex robots let's take a look at the
commercial ones, how they build them and why they don't work.
Why
Most Commercial Robots Fail in Real Time Trading
The
first point to keep in mind is - most vendors who make commercial
robots are not interested in the robot making money. All they are
interested in is presenting the best track record they can which has
high returns and low draw down, so the naïve and greedy trader buys
it.
So
How Do They Get the Track Records to Look so Good?
The
answer is - back testing and bending a set of rules to fit the data
which is known as curve fitting. They keep adding and subtracting
rules, until they have a system which show high returns and low draw
down.
When
they build these systems, not only do they bend rules to fit the
data, they have no real money management and either take far to
little risk on a trade or in most instances – too much.
I
have seen one robot where it claims the trading signal made 10 pips
profit but before it came back into profit - it was negative 625
pips.
Bending
a track record to fit back data is doomed to failure because prices
never repeat in exactly the same way again and the system gets
destroyed. The vendor then makes up another one and another one, with
the same result and makes a tidy income on sales, while the buyer
simply losses.
So
if you want to make a Forex robot you can and now we will take a look
at how to do it.
Making
Your Own Forex Robot
The
first point to keep in mind is that the best systems are simple and
robust and its a fact that simple systems work best and always have.
Also simple systems will not be subject to curve fitting and the back
test results will be realistic.
A
key point to keep in mind is that if you are looking to make a Forex
trading system – it will have draw down. There is no perfect
system! Here are some general guidelines on building robots.
Simple
Price Action System
You
can make money even with a 1 rule system and on this site you will
find a system which does just that called the 4 week rule. This
system doesn't use any indicators and is based purely on price action
and works.
Standard
Deviation of Price
Another
great way to trade is to base your system on volatility and I have
known several systems which have just traded standard deviation of
price and piled up huge gains, with one making 100,00 to 1.1 million
in just 2 years.
Indicators
Its
always tempting to use a large number of indicators but you should
resist the temptation, as we said earlier, because it will lead to
curve fitting. Keep the number of trading indicators to around 4 or
less.
Focus
Long Term Trade All Markets the Same Way
If
your system is based on sound principles it should work in ALL
markets avoid unique rules for different currencies or different
trading conditions – this is the worst type of curve fitting and
destined to fail. Also focus on long term trends and don't try and
trade random short term moves.
Finally, employ a set of money
management rules which give you objective levels where you are
stopped out and your all set to trade your own Forex robot.
Final
Words
Making
a Forex robot is a lot simpler than most people think and if you
spend a little time and follow the above guidelines you will have a
trading system you can trade for big Forex robots and make a great
second income in around 30 minutes a day.
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