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Can
you make money with Fore robots? Yes you can but you need to know
what to expect in terms of gains from the best robots, the downside
risks and also how to avoid all the losing robots and this means
almost all the heavily promoted ones! After reading this article, you
will know what to expect from a good system and know how to avoid the
losers.
The
first point you need to consider is - the reality of how much money
you can make so:
How
Much in Terms of Profits Can You Expect with the Best Forex Robots?
Over
25 years of trading, I have seen and tested numerous systems and the
best of the best, will make you 50 – 100% per annum (many robots
claim far bigger gains but we will cover why these never hit there
target growth in a moment). If you make 50 – 100% this is an
excellent return over the long term but the problem most traders run
into is - they can't handle the dips in equity I.E. draw down or
losses.
How
Big are Downside Losses and How Long do they Last?
A
good robot at some point targeting 50 – 100% long term, will tend
to draw down 30 – 50% from peak equity at some point and the draw
down will last anywhere between - 1 and 9 months ( not days months)
just so were clear. Of course, the best robots recover to make a new
peak in equity - but you have to mentally be prepared to follow the
system through these periods of draw down which is tough for most
traders.
Are
You patient and Disciplined?
Do
you have the patience and discipline to follow a robot?
Consider
this before you get one because you are going to have to focus long
term and be patient, during losing periods. The good news is if you
are patient there are two systems, you can get which make great money
long term:
Richard
Donchian's 4 Week Rule which is free and you will have seen on our
site. The Turtle trading system is another good system, where you can
get the rules for free or buy the robot version. Both these systems
were devised by real and famous traders and both work but you must
follow them long term.
I
have Seen Forex robots claiming far bigger gains with Less drawdown
do they Work?
Of
course the rise of online trading, has seen a rise in Forex robots
saying you can make ridiculous gains, with little or no draw down.
Many claim growth rates like 100% per month with 5% (or less) draw
down. Well that's better than any trader I know or the best in the
World like George Soros or Jimmy Rogers! These guys, if you haven't
heard of them. are top pro's so if you think a robot can beat them
think again.
If
you could really just make these gains, with so little draw down, a
bank or large investment house would pay a few hundred million, a
billion or more to buy it. The majority of robots sell for a few
hundred bucks because they don't work, NOT because they do.
I
have Seen the Real Track Record Though!
Sure
you have - but where is the audit of the figures from a reputable
auditor? I have never seen one. You get simulation disclaimers or
sometimes, account statements but without an audit how do you know
there genuine? The reason there is never an independent audit is easy
enough for anyone to figure out.
Personally,
I know there is no easy money in Forex – sure you can make big
gains but it requires effort and you will experience draw down,
that's just the way it is in Forex trading.
Ridiculous
Statements Made About Forex Robots
Here
are some of the statements that always amuse me:
“The
robot uses sophisticated artificial Intelligence to predict the
market”
Really?
There
was a major event last year, when a research team in California, made
a major advance in artificial intelligence. The research team
actually, got a robot to pick up and fold a towel! This was a major
breakthrough because the robot was NOT dealing with an object and not performing a pre-set action - It had to fold it with no preset specfic programming - this I thought was an amazing feat of computer
programming.
This
research project cost millions of dollars - but you are supposed to
believe, you can get a Forex trading system that can predict what
humans will do in advance (when humans dont stay static and are not
predictable) all for hundred dollars.
“The
System was developed by a computer genius”
In
other words, a guy has come in and bent the system to fit back data
and then, the system collapses in real time trading as it's curve
fitted. Markets move to the odds, not to science! so a computer
genius, will never be able to beat the market.
“A
System Brokers Hate so much because it makes to much profit”
This
one always amuses me. I have worked in a broker and any broker knows,
that there is no robot which says this which will beat them. The
trader who falls for this hype, soon ends up giving the broker all of
his money.
“A
robot which will scalp x pips per day like clockwork”
More
people believe the above statement, than I ever would have. The
fantasy of being able to make money every day - is a dream NOT
reality. As we have said, you will have periods of draw down in the
short term, even with the best systems and you will have long periods
of drawdown will too.
Should
You Use a Forex Robot?
The
answer is if you are realistic, have a disciplined nature and focus
on the long term.
There
is a big difference between the myth promoted by online vendors and
what you can actually make and also, the length and depths of periods
of losses you will encounter. Fact is most retail traders, buy a
robot because they don't like not being in control or don't have the
motivation to learn their art.
Use
the Most Powerful Computer of ALL Your Brain
Your
brain, has one significant advantage over a computer – its capable
of independent thought and that's a huge advantage in Forex trading,
as you can think and react to situations as they occur.
The
best way to trade Forex is to learn a system yourself which you have
some control over. By understanding the system and being able to be
active using it, not only do you feel more involved, you know you have an
influence over the risk and reward of your trading. Anyone can learn
a simple system and make money with it and in my view, its the best
way to trade.
Most
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really to learn Forex yourself and if you do, you will be well
rewarded, it really is that simple.
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