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Tuesday
31/01/2012 10.30 PM GMT
This
is a short late report today, due to a problem with our database –
there is no real news today so we will look at our positions and we
see some great opportunities at current levels ...
We
remain long term dollar bulls and see no reason to change this view.
None of the big fundamentals driving prices have changed – we still
have slowing global growth, a crisis in euro zone which is getting
worse and the possibility of a hard landing in emerging nations such
as China so the dip in the dollar looks like a healthy correction
rather than a trend change...
Position
Summary
AD:
We
were wrong about the Aussie thinking it would top out into 1.050 and
we ran up to 1.070 and came off. However we remain firmly bearish and
think we will see 1.070 hold and a close below 1.060 would set up a
test of 1.040. We still remain heavily bearish and expect a massive
downside brake which will take us all the way down to 80.00 in the
coming months
BP:
The
British Pound has rallied and closed above 1.57 and is near 1.58 and
we lost a point on this move but were about to hit it hard from the
short side on weakness AM – its overbought on momentum and the
stochastic is at 94.00 so - on weakness tomorrow we will hit it hard
and watch for a move back to 1.5550.
CD:
We are short and were up at par and overbought and got above this
level and have fallen back. Momentum is overbought so expect a
downside break next week to target 97.00.
EC:
We are lightly trading the short side from 1.30 and have relatively
wide stop back behind the gap at 1.32. We have been up to the gap and
fallen back. Were overbought and would expect a move back in the
first instance to 1.30 and longer term, we see 1.20 or lower. The
recent rally is simply short covering and a selling opportunity.
JY:
After
banking a small swing trade profit last week, we have been on the
sidelines and prices have fallen to 76.00 support momentum is
oversold and we will look for buying opportunities tomorrow on a
momentum turn up.
No
Change ….
A
short report today - but no real change in the fundamentals, leaves
as long term dollar bulls. We expect the dollar to base out around
here in a choppy trade and resume its upward trend which has made us
good profits over the last few months. We expect more profits to come
and the dollar to move a lot higher by the end of the week.
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