As
we stated on Friday - any weakness in the Dollar was likely to be
short lived and so it has proved and the Dollar and Yen have both
pushed higher today. While the US non farm payroll number was better
than expected, this is only because we have hard such poor data
before and today the markets are getting a reality check and the Euro
is getting hammered...
The dollar rose
against the yen on Friday after a government report showed U.S.
employers cut fewer jobs than expected (36,000 against an
anticipated figure of 70,000) last month which prompted optimism
about an economic recovery being under way and the Dollar fell
against the high yielding currencies ...
The
dollar rose against the yen on Friday after a government report
showed U.S. employers cut fewer jobs than expected (36,000 against
an anticipated figure of 70,000) last month which prompted optimism
about an economic recovery being under way. The
Japanese currency also dropped versus the Euro and higher-yielding
currencies such as the Australian dollar, as the data encouraged
investors to buy risky assets funded by cheaply borrowed yen. Our
view is that we are far from out of the woods in terms of a global
economic recovery but short covering rallies in the British Pound and
Euro were on the cards...
In our
recent trading, we have generally been quite pleased with our performance – we
have made great gains in the Euro and solid gains in the Yen Aussie and Canada
Dollar but in the Pound, while we have made money with some quick swing trades
to the upside we called the rally to early and have seen, a great down trend
unfold which we have missed but this trend has now run to far too fast and the
news that has generated a poll on the election ( which are notoriously
inaccurate ) is overdone..
The
view that the global economy is on the road to recovery based on
sand. We have maintained this view since the start of the year and
have positioned ourselves accordingly. Since the start of 2010 we
have been looking for $Dollar strength, against the “hot money”
currencies of Euro, Canada and Aussie Dollar and we are short, we
have seen some counter trend action today but we see these
currencies, going lower longer term and expect this rally to fade
into resistance.
The
view that the global economy is on the road to a quick recovery, is based on sand and we have maintained
this view since the start of the year and have positioned ourselves accordingly. Since the start
of 2010 we have been looking for $Dollar strength against the “hot
money” currencies of Euro, Canada and Aussie Dollar and they have
fallen nicely and we expect these trends to continue.
As
we have said for the last few weeks – the optimism over the global
economy is based on sand and the two currencies that will gain will
be the Dollar and Yen. Both currencies look to be set to remain firm
longer term but in PM trading they are off their highs...
As
we have said for the last few weeks – the optimism over the global
economy is based on sand and the two currencies that will gain will
be the Dollar and Yen and we are seeing this in AM trading.