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Williams
%R is a simple but effective momentum oscillator and was first
described by Larry Williams in 1973 and has been popular ever since,
here we will look at the calculation of the indicator and how you can
use it in your currency trading strategy to seek bigger Forex
profits.
I
was first introduced to his indicators, when I read his book “How
I made a $1,000,000 Dollars Trading Commodities” which is which is
a true trading classic and includes the %R indicator. The book is
based on the tools Williams used, to win the 1987
World Cup Championship of Futures Trading. In this competition, he
turned $10,000 to over $1,100,000 (11,376%) in a 12 months with real
money. Ten years later his daughter Michelle won the same competition
and obviously had some advice from her father!
Any
serious trader should read and study Williams and in my view, he is
one of the true great traders. His books are easy to understand, his
logic is soundly based and he makes trading sound fun which it is!
Lets
look at the %R indicator in more detail and how its application in
your FX trading strategy, can enhance your profitability.
The
Logic Behind %R
The
indicator is so valuable because - it shows the relationship of the
close relative to the high-low range over a set period of time. In
terms of construction its very similar in concept to the stochastic
indicator. The difference between the two indicators is - that
Williams %R has upside down scale while on the other hand, the
Stochastic Oscillator has internal smoothing in its calculation.
The
calculation for Williams %R indicator
Williams
%R = (HIGH(i-n)-CLOSE)/(HIGH(i-n)-LOW(i-n))*100
HIGH(i-n)
is the highest high over a number (n) of previous periods and
LOW(i-n) is the lowest low over a number (n) of previous periods.
Using
the %R to Generate Trading Signals
Williams
%R is considered to be a leading trading indicator which means that,
the line of Williams %R gets to the top or bottom of the move before
price gets there. Williams %R forms a peak and turns down before the
currency price peaks and turns down and this divergence from price is
very similar to the way traders use the stochastic indicator.
Williams
%R is a momentum indicator and is usually used to spot overbought and
oversold levels in non-trending markets. The value of William %R is
static 0 to -100. Readings below 20 are considered to indicate
overbought levels while on the other hand, readings above 80 are considered to
indicate oversold levels. The usual time period for the indicator is
14-days.
The
trading rules are very simple:
Sell
when %R reaches 20% or lower (the market is overbought) and buy when
it reaches 80% or higher (the market is oversold). However, as with
all overbought/oversold indicators, you should wait for the price to
change direction before initiating trades.%R
needs to be used in conjunction with other indicators and if you do
incorporate it in your FX trading strategy, you will have a valuable
trading indicator which can be used to enhance the profitability of
your trading.
Final
Words
I
am a big fan of Larry Williams, a larger than life trader who
inspired me to trade and I hope you like his work too.
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