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Developed
by George C. Lane in the late 1950s, the Stochastic Oscillator is one
of the most popular momentum indicators and is heavily used by
currency traders. We have covered the calculation of the indicator in
other articles and here, we will look at some simple set ups in terms
of trading both trends and range bound markets.
The
stochastic measures the velocity and speed of price and divergence of
the stochastic from the price trend, can warn of reversals in both
trends and range bound markets.
Range
Bound Markets
The
following set ups are often used by currency traders to generate
currency trading signals
Long
Trading Signals
1.
Take a long on bullish divergence (on %D) where the first trough is
beneath the Oversold level.
2.
Take a long when %K or %D falls below the Oversold level and rises
back above it.
3.
Take a long when %K crosses to above %D.
Short
signals:
1.
Take a short on bearish divergence (on %D) where the first peak is
over the Overbought level.
2.
Take a short short when %K or %D rises above the Overbought level
then falls back below it.
3.
Take a short when %K crosses to below %D.
Trending
Markets
Only
take signals in the direction of the prevailing trend and never go
long or short when Stochastic is at overbought or oversold levels.
The
shape of a Stochastic bottom can you give you some warning signs of
what to expect in terms of price action.
A
narrow bottom that is not to deep indicates that bears are weak and
any rally if its confirmed should be strong. A broad, deep bottom
shows the bears have control and that the rally is likely to weak.
The same applies in reverse at Stochastic tops. Narrow tops indicate
that the bulls are weak and that the correction when it comes, should
be strong. High and wide tops indicate that the bulls are in control
and the correction is likely to be weak.
Conclusion
This
is a brief introduction on how to generate trading signals with the
stochastic and while it is a powerful indicator, it needs to be
combined with other filters / indicators and if you choose the right
ones, the stochastic can be a fantastic indicator to gain better
market timing with your trading signals.
You
will find more background to the stochastic and the calculation in
other articles on this site.
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