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The
Rate of Change (ROC) indicator is an easy to understand momentum
oscillator that measures the percentage change in price from one
period to the next and compares the ROC calculation of the current
price with the price n periods ago.
The
theory behind using this oscillator in FX trading is simple and
straightforward:
How
to Use the ROC Indicator
If
a price is rising (or falling) very quickly there will soon come a
time when it is thought to be overbought (or oversold). When this
happens the price can still continue to rise (or fall), but not as
rapidly as it was before and eventually a contrary trading
opportunity will present itself.
12-
and 25-day ROC are most used numbers and a 12-day ROC is seen as a
good short-term and medium-term indicator of overbought and oversold.
The indicator fluctuates above and below the zero line as the Rate
of Change moves from positive to negative.
ROC
is used in the same way as other momentum oscillators momentum and
can be used in currency trading to look for higher lows, lower highs,
positive and negative divergences, and crosses above and below zero
to help time trading signals.
In
terms of market psychology, the momentum and ROC allows you to see
today's consensus of value to a previous consensus of value and see
how the prices compare and the degree of greed or fear which is
present from the participants.
Calculation
of ROC
ROC only has one
parameter, n, that specifies the number of periods over which the
closing prices should be compared. You can find the speed of price
change by looking at the difference between current closing price and
the closing price n periods ago thus:
ROC
= ((CLOSE (i) - CLOSE (i - n)) / CLOSE (i - n)) * 100
Where:
CLOSE
(i) — the closing price of the current bar
CLOSE
(i - n) — the closing price n bars in the past
ROC
— the value of Price Rate of Change indicator.
In
Conclusion
The
ROC indicator is easy to understand and apply and can be used in
currency swing trading or trend following, to gain a better insight
to market value and the psychology of the participants and is a
trading tool all currency traders should study.
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