|
Simple
moving averages, maybe be simple but there one of the most effective
tools FX traders can use and if you use them correctly you can
enhance the profitability of your trading strategy – Lets take a
look at moving averages and how to use them in more detail.
Moving
Averages Defined
Moving
averages regardless of the time frame used all have the same
purpose:
They identify trends over specific periods of time
and smooth out the day-to-day price fluctuations, that are a caused
by short term volatility. The fact is prices will always spike away
from the main trend due to the emotions of greed and fear. After
human emotion has subsided prices will normally return to the
average.
Moving
Averages Calculation
The calculation for any moving
average is the same:
The closing price is added up and divided
by the time period of the moving average to create an average price
for the whole period
Moving Average
What Time Periods are Best?
200 Day moving
averages are popular for tracking longer term trends and 20, 40 and
60 Day moving averages for tracking the intermediate trend.
Shorter
Periods are used and many Forex traders but using moving averages
within a day is of no use at all, because price volatility within any
period less than a day is totally random. We would only use daily
moving averages over 9 days and the most popular 3 we look at are
over 18 days or more.
We
like the following periods:
18
Day MA
In
any strong up trend or down trend, buying or selling back to the 18
day MA can be very effective and allows you to get in on the existing
trend with the best risk to reward. If you look at any Forex chart,
you will see how effective this average is in terms of getting into
the prevailing trend.
40
Day MA
We
like to use this as a trailing stop in long term trend following and
if this level is violated then the existing trend is in trouble
200
Day MA
This
is another effective long term MA which can be used to spot the
really big trend changes
Moving averages give you areas of
value; that's all and your Forex trading system needs to prove these
levels hold before you execute your trade.
Moving
Averages Need to Be Used with Other Indicators
short
term price spikes which move away from a longer term moving average
will tend to return to it after becoming overbought or oversold, this
makes them a great tool for spotting value areas in currencies and
isolating areas where you can take a trading signal – but you
should not use them by themselves to generate trading signals. You
need to confirm any entry into the market and for doing this, you
should use some momentum oscillators to prove the level has held -
then only after you have confirmation of this, should you execute
your trading signal.
A
Simple and Effective Tool for Profit
Moving
averages maybe a simple tool but the logic is easy to understand and
timeless and if you use the right moving averages and combine them
with other FX trading indicators, you can enhance the profit
potential of your currency trading strategy.
|