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If
you want to be a successful currency trader, you need to understand
Bollinger Bands because they are an essential currency trading
indicator and give you a visual view of the volatility of the
currency pair you are looking at and you can use an understanding of
volatility, to make bigger FX profits. If you want to see the
volatility of the market and get more accurate market timing and more
profitable trading signals, the Bollinger Band is an ideal indicator
to use; lets take a look at Bollinger Bands and FX volatility in more
detail.
Standard
Deviation of Price
Standard deviation
gives an indication of the volatility of any price, it measuring how
widely the current price is dispersed from the average price.
Dispersion is the difference between the actual current price and the
average value. The bigger the difference between the current price
and the average price, the higher the standard deviation or
volatility of the market studied will be.
Understanding
Volatility
In any financial
market including FX, the value of the market tends to rise slowly
over the longer term. Prices may become volatile in the short term,
but short term price spikes away from the average are short lived and
will normally come back to longer term moving average. Greed and
fear cause short term price spikes and when they come volatility
increases and you can see how volatile the market is by looking at
Bollinger Bands.
Bollinger
Bands Calculation
Bollinger bands
consists of a centre band and two outer bands; the centre band is
normally a 20-day simple moving average, the upper band is the 20-day
simple moving average plus 2 standard deviations and the lower is a
20-day simple moving average less 2 standard deviations.
Of course when price
volatility is low the bands are close together, when volatility is
high the bands expand and widen away from the average. By looking at
a chart and overlaying the Bollinger Band, you see the standard
deviation or volatility of price in historical terms..
Using
Bollinger Bands
Below
are three common uses for Bollinger Bands which you can incorporate
in your currency trading strategy. Always keep in mind you need to
combine this indicator, with others to generate trading signals, as
Bollinger Bands, simply alert you to the opportunity.
Low
to High Volatility
When a currency pair
trades in a narrow range, the Bollinger bands will be narrow and
close to the central moving average however low volatility doesn't
last and when prices break above or below the upper or lower band,
you have a warning sign that a new trend could develop.
Getting into Trends
When a trend has
started simply look for a dip toward the centre band and enter in the
direction of the trend Which represents fair value.
Swing Trading and
Trend Changes
When the price touch
the top or bottom of the Bollinger band on high volatility, the swing
trader will look to get in with his currency trading system and the
contrary trader looking for a trend change, will also be looking to
trade the move.
Bollinger
Bands an Essential Forex Trading Indicator
If you don't
understand volatility, you won't maximize the profits from your
currency trading strategy so you should make a study of standard
deviation of price and the Bollinger Band part of your essential
currency trading education today.
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