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When
I look around the internet,I see many people writing about the
importance of perfect market timing as the key to FX trading success
but in terms of overall Forex profits, its no where near as important
as people think – lets look at why.
Lets
first look at better Forex timing and what the losing 95% of traders
see it as:
Forex
Market Timing Myths
Joe
public losses money and tends to buy into the idea, that you have to
predict market turning points in advance and market timing must be
right at the turn of the trend.
They
also believe that, you can get good market timing by scalping or day
trading and of course, all these traders learn a lesson from the
market and lose. You can't time market tops or bottoms or predict
them in advance and you can't trade with the odds on your side, in
short term random volatility.
The
myths about prediction and picking tops and bottoms is a myth which
is fed by the numerous junk robots to the gullible trader, via sure
fire trading systems sold online which say predicting tops and
bottoms is possible, when it should be clear to anyone, you cannot
predict what emotional people will do in advance.
One
of the World's Best Traders Admits He is Terrible at Market Timing
I
actually saw a market interview with one of the best traders of all
time Jimmy Rogers (a former partner with Jim Soros trading the
Quantum fund) who said - he was terrible at market timing but of
course he made a lot of money and is one of the most successful
traders of all time.
What
Jimmy Rogers knows and most of the top traders in the world know is –
that not only, is perfect market timing not possible, it makes no
real odds in terms of making money with your trading signals longer
term.
The
Key to Making Money has Nothing to do With Predicting Tops and
Bottoms
The
key to making money is not trying to predict but getting your trade
in, when the odds are at there best and this means, your trading
strategy should be focused on getting into positions when moves have
been confirmed by market action.
Its
a fact that if you could make just 50% from the big trends in Forex,
you would be extremely rich! When building your Forex trading
strategy, don't ever trade short term volatility by day trading or
scalping, focus on long term trends and don't worry about missing the
exact top or bottom. A big trend, will give you a lot of pips in
profit once your in it so be patient, you cant get it all so don't
try.
Final
Words
When
trading look to make money and forget about perfection its not
possible. Your aim is to make money while at the same time, keeping
risk as manageable levels. If you miss a few pips at the top or the
bottom of a big trend which makes several thousand do you really
care? Of course not, don't follow the losing herd and look to beat
the market instead focus on making money.
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