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Larrry Hite was one of
the most successful derivatives traders of his day and during his
time with Mint Investment Management Company in the 1980- 90s, he
helped to the fund the biggest in the world and made it the very
first business in derivatives, to have of in excess $1 billion in
assets under management.
Market
Wizards
The famous interviews
with traders conducted by Jack D. Schwager in Market Wizards
included Hite, who discusses how he got started in commodities
trading and his trading strategy. Hite believes that successful
trading is simply based on calculating and trading the odds and bases
his strategy not on getting the highest return - but on getting the
best return, in terms of keeping downside volatility to a minimum.
Trading
Strategy
Hite, compares trading
to playing poker. Profitable investing is really based on betting the
odds, and if you can estimate the odds of a specific trade or
investment, then you can establish if the price is to high or to low.
Similar to poker, favourable odds do not guarantee any individual
trade will be successful but as any good poker player knows, if you
keep playing the odds with tight money management, you can make a lot
of profit.
Larry Hite famously
said:
“We
approach markets backwards. The first thing we ask is not what can we
make, but how much can we lose. We play a defensive game.”
His goal was to
achieve the best returns while employing tight risk control, Hite
stresses three key trading rules.
First, he advocates
never risking more than one percent of total capital on one single
trade, no matter how good the trade looks
His second rule is to
always follow trends and never deviate from your methods or systems
and it's true, if you can't trade a system with discipline, you don't
have a system This view is based on trading the odds and how the
great poker players make money. Losing money in the short doesn't
matter, because if you continue to play the odds correctly, you will
win but you must stay on course. You need to have the conviction and
courage to cut losses and hold big trends, in the face of open equity
dips and at the end of the day - it's the long term profit that
counts and what happens in the short term is irrelevant.
Hite’s last rule is
to diversify across several different areas and he traded in multiple
markets across the world, diversifying his portfolio into several
different asset classes which were not correlated.
The
Mint Fund
“There
are two basic rules about winning in trading and life. One, if you
don’t bet you can’t win. Two, if you lose all of your chips you
can’t bet.”
The Mint Guaranteed
Fund – a Series A fund – proved to become one of the best
publicly traded commodity funds, in terms of performance to draw
down. Hite used diversification as a key tool for cutting risk and
never over exposed the fund in any one area. The fund achieved an
annual return of over 30% before fees over a 13 year period under
his guidance and in term of the low downside volatility, this is a
truly outstanding performance.
Final
Words
In 1994, Larry Hite
retired as the hands-on fund manager at Mint. Since his retirement,
he has held the position of managing director of Hite Capital LLC and
in has performance in terms of profits to downside volatility
compares with any other trader, making him one of the most important
and influential traders of recent times.
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