|
Bruce
Kovner made profits of over $300 million in 1987 alone and compounded
a staggering 87% annually, over a 10 year period and is rightly, seen
as one of the best traders of all time. Lets take a look at Bruce
Kovner's trading strategy in more detail...
"Kovner
borrowed $3,000 on his Master Card in early 1977 and quickly made
$1,000 on his first two trades but later he ran a Soybean position
from just $4,000 up to $45,000 in a six week period but due to a lack
of discipline he ended up with a a loss of $23,000. Although he
still had $22,000, five times left, the loss of profit is etched on
his memory.
“I
had a huge gain but lost half before getting out? I lost half the
profit in an hour. I closed out the trade and was physically sick for
a week. In retrospect that was a very good thing, says Kovner. It
helped me understand risk and create structures to control risk."
Many
of the great traders took a big loss before implementing, rigid money
management parameters and Bruce believes money management is the key
to making big gains.
Bruce believes that
there are two important elements that have helped him become
successful, his trading strategy which looks at the big picture and
and his strict money management rules..
Trading
Strategy
The first element
would be his ability to correctly identify and predict upcoming trend
changes and future price movements and he looks at the big picture to
achieve this:
He spend tremendous
amount of time to follow and analyse intricately the economies of
many different countries and integrate this intermarket analysis into
his trading strategy.
-
He gets a gurus
report daily to check sentiment and wants to know when a lot of
people are going to be wrong.
-
Uses technical
analysis but he needs to understand why the market should move,
hence looking at the broader picture.
-
He has the
ability to imagine a world different from today ( referred to as
alternative scenarios) and really believe it can happen which allows
him to trade with courage and conviction.
Money
Management
The other element
would be his ability to stay non emotional and disciplined, under the
pressure of trading. Which helps the best traders make right
decisions at the right times and this relies on strong money
management.
1. He places stops
that indicate the trade is wrong, NOT at a point determined by the
maximum dollar loss.
2.
Monitors the correlation of all his positions, measured by total
risk in the market each and every day.
3.
Whenever he enters a position, he has a predetermined stop like all
good traders.
What
Makes a Great Trader?
While he believes that
good traders can be trained, he also believes that only a handful
would actually make it in trading and this has nothing to do with
academic prowess but their attitude of mind. In fact, those who do
make great traders are usually the ones that are strong, independent
and are able to go against the majority and keep their emotions in
check. These traders are the ones who are wiling to go into positions
that other traders would not consider and have the discipline to
adhere to the rules and thus trade with the right trade position
sizes at the right times.
Final
Words
Kovner launched Caxton
(named after a 15th century English printer Kovner learned about
while putting together his rare book collection) in 1983. He has
trading screens in both his Park Avenue apartment and his country
house, a Georgian-style mansion 75 miles north of New York City and
is known to live trading insisting his staff, keep him in touch with
market developments 24 hours a day. Bruce's track record stands up
there with the best and he is therefore, one of the best traders of
all time.
|